Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.375307e-03 0.001539 0.001702 0.001878 0.002060 0.002244 0.002443
2025-09-07 1.177467e-03 0.001418 0.001666 0.001939 0.002228 0.002524 0.002850
2025-09-14 9.663089e-04 0.001261 0.001573 0.001924 0.002303 0.002698 0.003137
2025-09-21 8.336455e-04 0.001175 0.001545 0.001970 0.002436 0.002927 0.003479
2025-09-28 7.466572e-04 0.001129 0.001555 0.002052 0.002603 0.003189 0.003853
2025-10-05 6.280122e-04 0.001037 0.001504 0.002059 0.002683 0.003353 0.004117
2025-10-12 5.403821e-04 0.000972 0.001479 0.002090 0.002786 0.003539 0.004402
2025-10-19 4.379977e-04 0.000880 0.001415 0.002071 0.002828 0.003653 0.004606
2025-10-26 3.586413e-04 0.000808 0.001370 0.002071 0.002887 0.003784 0.004825
2025-11-02 2.796634e-04 0.000727 0.001308 0.002047 0.002916 0.003878 0.005001
2025-11-09 2.261097e-04 0.000676 0.001279 0.002058 0.002983 0.004013 0.005220
2025-11-16 1.755867e-04 0.000621 0.001243 0.002058 0.003035 0.004128 0.005415
2025-11-23 1.137434e-04 0.000550 0.001196 0.002063 0.003118 0.004307 0.005713
2025-11-30 7.039750e-05 0.000497 0.001172 0.002099 0.003237 0.004530 0.006065
2025-12-07 2.479485e-05 0.000413 0.001097 0.002066 0.003274 0.004658 0.006312
2025-12-14 6.055147e-06 0.000370 0.001078 0.002102 0.003393 0.004880 0.006664
2025-12-21 1.532091e-07 0.000350 0.001090 0.002179 0.003560 0.005159 0.007080
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000299 0.001048 0.002181 0.003636 0.005329 0.007371
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000263 0.001028 0.002211 0.003742 0.005534 0.007702
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000212 0.000973 0.002189 0.003784 0.005660 0.007941
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000173 0.000935 0.002187 0.003847 0.005812 0.008207
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000132 0.000882 0.002162 0.003879 0.005924 0.008426
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000106 0.000856 0.002173 0.003956 0.006089 0.008704